Thursday, December 8, 2011

I Ching Week 14 NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football

Lines are taken from the ESPN Pig Skin Pick ‘Em Game and my picks are in BOLD.
Last Week 6-10
Season: 104-90

Thursday 8:20 PM EST
Browns @ Steelers -13.5
Hexagram 29: The Abyss
This hexagram portends meeting a dangerous situation that cannot be avoided. The only way to handle this is to embrace the abyss and fall in. As Cleveland prepares to play in Pittsburgh tonight, most of the trends are going against them. They have lost 14 of their last 15 to their division rival. Since the new expansion era of the Browns, they have won only 4 of the 25 meetings.
History is one thing, but the Browns’ matchup problems with today’s Steelers are much bigger concerns. The Browns 8th ranked defense is a bit of a mirage. They are ranked first against the pass in total yards, but partly because they’ve been passed against the second fewest times in the league. Their performance against the run has been much worse, second to last in the league. They gave up over 200 yards on the ground last week in their loss to Baltimore.
 The Steelers got back to the run last week, having more rushing than passing attempts for the first time in two months, with great success against the Bengals’ formidable defense last week. The Steelers should be able move the ball all night with relative ease against the Browns. This will lead to points that Colt McCoy and the lackluster Cleveland offense will not be able keep up with against Pittsburgh’s very real and very number one ranked defense.

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