Thursday November 1, 2012
Chiefs @ Chargers -8.5
Hexagram 62: Small Exceeding 小过
Both of these teams have serious issues at quarterback right now. Matt Cassel was so bad for Kansas City through the early portion of the season that they have experimented with Brady Quinn behind center. The experiment ended prematurely due to an injury Quinn suffered last week, and so Cassel is again the starting quarterback, for now at least. Rivers started the season out hot, as he led the Chargers to a 3-1 record through the first quarter of games. His play has declined sharply in the Bolts three game losing streak since, with Rivers throwing five interceptions and averaging less than 250 yards per game over this span. The lowlight of this cold streak was last week’s 154 yard, no touchdown performance in their 7-6 loss to the Browns.
With both teams encountering such problems in their passing game, I give the edge to the team that I see with more little advantages going their way. Kansas City is getting more than a touchdown in a divisional game, which tends to be closer in general. They are probably more ready for this short week game, coming off a home game, while San Diego traveled to Cleveland last week. I think they will give the ball to Jamaal Charles a plenty, after he was mysteriously missing from the team’s game plan after the 1st quarter last week. I think the coaching staff realizes that they have to put the ball in their best player’s hands if they want a chance to pull a road upset. It’s no accident that Charles’ best games of the year have coincided with the Chiefs playing their most competitive football. In their win over the Saints, he touched the ball 39 times, and he had another 31 carries in their 9-6 loss to Baltimore. After the Chargers failed to contain Trent Richardson last Sunday, I expect Jamaal Charles to get the ball early and often on the way to an impressive showing for the Chiefs.
Last Week: 9-5 Season: 60-58